Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.448257 4.114934 4.858396 5.746382 6.775420 7.927592 9.312405
2025-10-19 2.561295 3.433182 4.505695 5.911302 7.692844 9.862519 12.690118
2025-10-26 1.946211 2.879827 4.126816 5.890598 8.293105 11.419465 15.757278
2025-11-02 1.475083 2.385613 3.694031 5.672008 8.537832 12.481285 18.245132
2025-11-09 1.146156 2.010803 3.338316 5.467685 8.724480 13.427631 20.614378
2025-11-16 0.948906 1.790812 3.161642 5.477542 9.189102 14.774311 23.635218
2025-11-23 0.796988 1.610912 3.010686 5.490919 9.638128 16.114063 26.737028
2025-11-30 0.666096 1.439056 2.840174 5.437803 9.957966 17.263407 29.622155
2025-12-07 0.533151 1.233973 2.574674 5.176928 9.889600 17.770721 31.514049
2025-12-14 0.452175 1.114307 2.444106 5.132978 10.177247 18.868772 34.430115
2025-12-21 0.387864 1.015582 2.336399 5.112758 10.496545 20.035046 37.534734
2025-12-28 0.363172 1.000030 2.392505 5.413639 11.431237 22.333974 42.730493
2026-01-04 0.326772 0.951034 2.374352 5.570035 12.121176 24.277436 47.494691
2026-01-11 0.300258 0.920873 2.392617 5.804067 12.985897 26.607673 53.120225
2026-01-18 0.261611 0.850347 2.308199 5.806993 13.387623 28.108573 57.345639
2026-01-25 0.216654 0.751106 2.138970 5.598279 13.329756 28.727793 59.976201
2026-02-01 0.179651 0.664425 1.984172 5.398491 13.264084 29.317310 62.579127
2026-02-08 0.157868 0.617932 1.922882 5.408923 13.650273 30.823508 67.035824
2026-02-15 0.139133 0.576054 1.866307 5.422368 14.042180 32.366292 71.659566
2026-02-22 0.120571 0.529367 1.787998 5.369908 14.276687 33.598102 75.738168
2026-03-01 0.098345 0.462420 1.638797 5.111952 14.002600 33.735708 77.602621
2026-03-08 0.085488 0.426349 1.573882 5.068498 14.233969 34.968234 81.794666
2026-03-15 0.074928 0.395884 1.520357 5.048506 14.519456 36.336772 86.352699